Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 1248.250340 1421.114322 1614.059767 1846.260369 2119.272065 2431.467524 2817.478080
2025-08-17 999.281178 1229.037787 1510.422848 1884.135542 2373.066165 2998.849058 3873.206524
2025-08-24 861.008786 1112.222184 1438.812320 1901.739920 2552.918669 3454.606105 4830.781400
2025-08-31 762.343129 1023.724473 1380.118344 1912.762100 2708.443600 3886.263028 5827.496121
2025-09-07 694.667692 964.356235 1347.516633 1947.378117 2892.836037 4379.885193 7012.447996
2025-09-14 616.139981 878.192686 1262.942039 1888.363755 2918.498022 4622.921125 7829.977575
2025-09-21 552.646852 806.099210 1189.151837 1833.020285 2936.521775 4848.964572 8657.796325
2025-09-28 497.492745 740.448913 1117.096898 1769.293540 2927.631671 5021.508569 9416.582818
2025-10-05 476.620960 725.657889 1122.981709 1834.694945 3151.795456 5652.891099 11241.356548
2025-10-12 451.410253 701.104966 1109.709546 1864.087481 3312.900100 6190.928828 13007.335185
2025-10-19 427.518681 676.268947 1092.972105 1884.275408 3458.029356 6721.583494 14900.840145
2025-10-26 404.498546 650.700037 1072.133172 1893.647689 3581.963377 7229.133763 16883.605022
2025-11-02 389.912910 639.125550 1076.172390 1953.748386 3826.212579 8067.301302 20042.098090
2025-11-09 373.115270 622.288047 1069.194928 1991.806641 4031.465753 8865.806227 23404.350844
2025-11-16 355.477456 602.272733 1054.072540 2010.859215 4196.882107 9604.033099 26877.952339
2025-11-23 338.587068 582.142582 1036.649851 2022.613433 4347.130228 10338.575732 30649.879667
2025-11-30 326.025296 568.990625 1031.378861 2059.612191 4564.204453 11305.789491 35662.481425
2025-12-07 303.849155 535.858675 983.511855 1996.544574 4522.078240 11535.324154 38081.200193
2025-12-14 284.027395 505.875775 939.542208 1937.422729 4481.229152 11761.692959 40607.859846
2025-12-21 264.985475 476.153037 893.799271 1869.372918 4407.094418 11873.519281 42737.106532
2025-12-28 260.302828 474.448037 906.065646 1939.211394 4717.158442 13272.719799 51254.595409
2026-01-04 252.396409 465.669723 902.554903 1970.608223 4926.473142 14404.749275 59275.992756
2026-01-11 244.156766 455.615282 895.410647 1992.176378 5111.880058 15511.131026 67942.415422